Hawzah News Agency- He can’t honestly declare victory; he seems to be losing control of an expanding war; and the strategic and economic consequences of quitting would be more disastrous than those of staying in.
Trump is not yet facing the dire predicament of presidents like Lyndon Johnson and George W. Bush who prolonged conflicts that were already lost.
The Strait’s closure presents Trump with a military conundrum that will be extremely dangerous for the US Navy to try to solve despite the Islamic Republic being military outmatched. It is also the latest fallout from a war that Trump launched based on a “feeling” that seems to betray negligent lack of forethought. US officials have, after all, understood for decades how Iran would respond to an attack.
“You can’t have victory if you can’t use the Strait of Hormuz'', retired US Navy Capt. Lawrence Brennan told CNN’s Erin Burnett.“The Strait of Hormuz has to be reopened to international trade and that is a difficult if not impossible thing to do under the present circumstances''.
In the United States, violent incidents in Virginia and Michigan highlighted the possibility of domestic blowback from a war half a world away.
“The problem is that there is really no good way to open up the Strait of Hormuz by force, given the fact that the Iranians can keep it closed with just a small number of really cheap drones'', said Jennifer Kavanagh, director of military analysis at Defense Priorities.
Trump began the war by telling Iranians “that the hour of your freedom is at hand'', and that they had a once-in-a-lifetime chance to rise up against their theocratic autocracy. There have so far, however, been no public signs of such a revolt.
The ending of wars is rarely as clean and unequivocal as America’s victory over Nazism and Imperial Japan in 1945. Arguably, the nation has lost far more wars than it has won since then. But Trump is facing the inevitable consequence of a war of choice.
Source: CNN
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